Tryumph Trader

Online Trading Journal

OPEN: VIP Long Call JUL08 40

Market Trend: Long term bullish. Short term bearish. Deep correction finding support. Market forecast has a bullish cluster. Sentiment is still heading down (fear is still ruling the market.

Stock Trend: Bullish with a pull back to support.

Fundamentals: 1 green arrow.

Industry: Bullishly Neutral.

VIP long term trend

Support: $40.20 (MA & recent bounce) & 35.20 (next former resistance turned support)

Resistance: $45 (2 yr and all time high) & minor resistance at 43.00 (top of pull back channel)

Recently split 5 for 1 on 8/22/07

MACD and STOCH turned and gaining strength.

Case for Call Option

Plan:

Buy long call @ 8.50

On continued Strength: Sell the 45 front month Calls after a rally and weakening MACD and STOCH.

On Weakness: Sell the 40 front month Calls.

Exits:

(up) Follow option with mental stop loss If in June the stock is still showing strength then Roll to DEC or JAN09.

(Sideways) Stock price rallies to resistance and shows pulls back on weakening MACD & STOCH

(down) Stock price closes below 38.50 (~3% below support) Trade is dead – Exit.

(Down) Option closes at a 40% loss.

Filled at $8.20

January 10, 2008 Posted by tryumph | Bullish, Long Call, Open Trades | , , , | No Comments Yet